According to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model, bitcoin pulled back from recent peaks Tuesday, sliding from $103,413 to $101,775 as the world’s largest cryptocurrency consolidated below key $102,000 resistance. The 1.24% decline unfolded on tepid volume just 2.11% above seven-day averages, signaling cautious market participation despite proximity to the critical $100,000 psychological support level.
Selling pressure intensified at 15:00 GUMTMT when 27,579 BTC traded hands —189% above the 24-hour moving average — as buyers failed to sustain momentum above $105,200. This breakdown from the session high of $105,342 confirmed strong overhead resistance and Bitcoin’s struggle to advance beyond ascending trendlines from overnight lows.
Sixty-minute data shows volatile recovery attempts, with bitcoin bouncing from $101,625 to $102,154 before stalling near current levels. The rally generated peak volume between 17:37-17:40 UTC, marking the session’s strongest buying interest, though momentum faded at the $102,000 barrier.
Defensive positioning versus support tests
With institutional investor Dan Tapiero projecting $180,000 targets while cautioning on potential 70% corrections, sophisticated money builds protective positions through derivatives markets. December 2025 $98,000 puts jumped 43% in open interest while March 2026 $80,000 puts gained 31%, indicating portfolio hedging rather than outright bearish bets.
The options activity reflects risk management as bitcoin holds above $100,000. This defensive positioning coincides with technical charts showing bitcoin’s approach to the 365-day moving average — a historically strong support that, when broken in mid-2022, preceded a 66% crash.
Key technical levels signal range-bound action for BTC
Support/Resistance: Primary support holds at $101,625 from Tuesday’s lows, with major psychological support at $100,000. Resistance confirmed at $105,200-$105,340 zone following high-volume selling climax.
Volume Analysis: Peak selling volume of 27,579 BTC at 15:00 UTC marked session breakdown, while subsequent recovery attempts on lighter volume suggest consolidation rather than directional conviction.
Chart Patterns: Bitcoin broke below ascending trendline from overnight lows, printing consecutive lower highs from 13:00 rejection. Price action indicated range-bound trading between $101,700-$102,000.
Targets & Risk/Reward: Next upside target sits at $102,150 resistance from Tuesday’s recovery peak. Downside risk extends toward $100,000 psychological support, with deeper pullback potential toward $92,000 if key level breaks.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
