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Chainlink’s $64M Grayscale ETF debut hides private banking loophole threatening to sever link between usage and price

admin by admin
4 12 月, 2025
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Chainlink’s $64M Grayscale ETF debut hides private banking loophole threatening to sever link between usage and price
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Grayscale’s conversion of its legacy Chainlink trust into the GLNK exchange-traded product on Dec. 2 did more than simply add another ticker to the NYSE Arca board.

With roughly $13 million in day-one trading volume, $41 million in immediate inflows, and assets climbing to approximately $64 million within the first 48 hours, GLNK entered the market distinct from the speculative alt-coin listings that characterized much of the previous cycle.

Grayscale Chainlink ETF
Grayscale Chainlink ETF Daily Inflows Since Launch on Dec. 2 (Source: SoSo Value)

Instead, it arrived as the first US financial product offering direct exposure to the Oracle infrastructure layer. This layer functions as the digital plumbing required to make blockchain networks usable for real-world finance.

However, beneath the strong headline flows a complex wager. By packaging a utility token into a regulated equity wrapper, Grayscale has forced institutional investors to confront a difficult question: Does the inevitable growth of tokenized finance actually necessitate an increase in the price of the LINK token?

GLNK is structured under NYSE Arca Rule 8.201-E as a physically backed commodity product, holding LINK as its sole asset. It debuted with a temporary 0% fee, which is a standard seeding mechanism for this year’s ETF launches, before a scheduled shift to 0.35% once the vehicle reaches early March or $1 billion in assets.

This aggressive pricing strategy, undercutting legacy trusts that often charged upward of 2 percent, positions the product to attract allocators who view blockchain not as a casino, but as a software upgrade for global markets.

The tokenization thesis

GLNK’s launch came at a time when tokenization had transitioned from a back-end experiment to a boardroom priority.

A recent op-ed by BlackRock’s Larry Fink and Rob Goldstein in The Economist framed tokenized settlement as the inevitable next evolution in market infrastructure.

This aligns with forecasts from BCG and ADDX, which place the total value of tokenized private assets at nearly $16 trillion by 2030, and Citi’s revised base case, which projects up to $1.9 trillion in stablecoin circulation by the end of the decade.

In this macroeconomic backdrop, GLNK pitches itself less as a bet on a cryptocurrency and more as a picks-and-shovels play on the migration of financial data onto public networks.

Zach Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, said:

“I believe Chainlink will make the tokenization vision a reality.”

Chainlink’s network, which reports securing over $100 billion in total value and maintains a dominant 70% market share in decentralized finance (DeFi), is the theoretical beneficiary of this migration.

ChainLink's Total Transaction EnabledChainLink's Total Transaction Enabled
ChainLink’s Total Transaction Enabled (Source: ChainLink)

Major financial institutions are currently using Oracle blockchain’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) to transfer value between private bank ledgers and public blockchains.

Yet a critical disconnect persists between the technology’s adoption and the token’s economics, as sophisticated allocators are wary of the “velocity problem.”

While banks may use Chainlink’s infrastructure for data attestation or proof-of-reserves, it is not guaranteed that these institutions will hold LINK on their balance sheets. If transaction fees are paid in fiat or if the token is acquired and immediately burned for service, the velocity of money could suppress price appreciation even as usage explodes.

Furthermore, the threat of private innovation looms. For context, JPMorgan’s Onyx and other proprietary bank chains may develop internal Oracle solutions that bypass public middleware entirely.

GLNK’s flows, therefore, are not just a measure of enthusiasm for crypto; they are a market-readable gauge of investor confidence that public, decentralized middleware will become the standard over private, walled gardens.

The mechanics of access

For Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) and multi-asset managers, participating in this infrastructure thesis has historically been operationally impossible.

Historically, these firms have stayed away from on-chain crypto interactions and private key management due to the complexities of the emerging industry.

GLNK effectively solves the access problem. With Coinbase Custody providing segregated, auditable cold storage and NYSE Arca providing daily liquidity, the product transforms an on-chain thesis into a broker-dealer compatible line item.

However, this convenience introduces a significant “cost of carry” that defines the product’s risk profile.

Unlike Ethereum or Solana, where the native asset generates yield through staking-based consensus, GLNK does not currently pass staking rewards through to investors.

In the native crypto market, LINK holders can stake their tokens to secure the network and earn a return, currently acting as a hedge against inflation. Inside the ETF wrapper, that yield is stripped away.

In a macroeconomic environment where the risk-free rate remains material, holding a non-yielding asset that charges a management fee (eventually 0.35%) creates a distinct drag on performance.

Investors are essentially paying a premium for regulatory safety. This dynamic mirrors the early days of gold ETFs, where investors accepted storage costs for the ease of access.

Still, it places a heavier burden on the underlying asset’s capital appreciation.

For GLNK to be a viable portfolio component, the appreciation of the LINK token must outpace not only the management fee but also the opportunity cost of holding yielding treasuries or staking-enabled crypto assets.

Moreover, the regulatory architecture underpinning GLNK may prove to be its most durable feature.

The use of NYSE Arca Rule 8.201-E, typically reserved for physically backed commodity ETPs, provides a level of consistency that market makers favor. It simplifies the creation and redemption process, allowing authorized participants to hedge their books efficiently and keep spreads tight.

This structure also clarifies the competitive landscape.

While other oracle networks like the Solana-based Pyth offer similar technological utility, they lack the regulated bridge that Chainlink has now established.

By clearing the regulatory hurdles first, Grayscale has created a moat. For an institutional allocator, the difference between “technologically superior” and “regulatorily accessible” is often the difference between passing and investing.

What does the future hold for GLNK

Despite these structural headwinds, the early market response suggests a hunger for thematic diversification.

Industry stakeholders have described the initial trading volume as robust for a single-asset debut, specifically noting that on a market-cap-adjusted basis, GLNK outperformed several other 2025 alt-coin listings.

This contrasts with the subdued launch of the Dogecoin ETP, highlighting an emerging institutional preference: capital is flowing toward infrastructure linked to real economic integrations, rather than tokens driven primarily by retail sentiment or meme mechanics.

Considering this, CryptoSlate’s analysis, based on comparable thematic ETF launches, suggests a base-case scenario in which GLNK accumulates between $150 million and $300 million in assets under management (AUM) by mid-2026.

This projection assumes a “spillover rate” where a small fraction of capital allocated to Bitcoin and Ethereum products rotates into high-conviction infrastructure plays during quarterly rebalancing cycles.

Scenario AUM Range (Mid-2026) Midpoint (USD Millions)
Bear $75m – $125m $100 million
Base $150m – $300m $225 million
Bull $400m – $600m $500 million

A bull case, potentially reaching $400 million to $600 million, relies on a successful narrative conversion. However, this would require tangible announcements from major financial institutions that move from CCIP pilots to full commercial production using the LINK token.

Conversely, a bear scenario of $75 million to $125 million remains plausible if the “private chain” thesis gains traction, or if diversified multi-asset crypto indices begin to absorb the demand for oracle exposure, rendering single-asset products less attractive.

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